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Amtrak, The New York Times, and Public Policy That Doesn’t Change

Thursday, June 26, 2008

The June 21 front-page article by Matthew L. Wald, “Travelers Shift To Rail as Cost of Fuel Rises; Busy Days at Amtrak, but Strains Show,” for the most part did a good job of reminding the nation that Americans have been crowding onto trains and that we need more of them. It is particularly gratifying to read that “today Amtrak has 632 usable rail cars, and dozens more are worn out or damaged but could be reconditioned and put into service at a cost of several hundred thousand dollars each.”

But we still have to wade through old canards about the mandate for profitability. From the very outset, it was clear to anyone who cared to investigate that Amtrak would not be profitable. Rep. John Dingell (D-MI), who served for years as chairman of the authorizing committee with jurisdiction, and the late Rep. Brock Adams (who later became Secretary of Transportation) were among those who commented at the time of Amtrak’s creation on the inadequacy of its funding. The “for-profit” mandate was widely understood as the fig leaf that would enable a conservative President Richard Nixon to sign the National Rail Passenger Act into law.

On November 9, 1971, just six months after Amtrak began operations, a House hearing addressed the fact that Amtrak’s “expenditures and losses have been running at a much higher rate than anticipated,” and an additional $170 million (on top of the initial $40 million appropriation) was under consideration. At that hearing, Rep. Adams said, “I am not convinced that any part [of Amtrak] can break even under the way it is being run now, at what is in effect cost-plus to the railroads.”

Eventually, in 1978, Congress softened Amtrak’s profitability mandate by inserting the italicized words in the following phrase: “[Amtrak] shall be operated and managed as a for-profit corporation.”

So it is misleading to jump from the 1970 law to 1997 without acknowledging what went on in between.

A huge proportion of passengers on the long-distance trains are traveling between major city-pairs, not the small markets. These are people who do not want to fly; in some cases, they may be medically prohibited from flying. Others may have found air fares too high, particularly if traveling on short notice. So, while many people certainly like to ride trains, it trivializes Amtrak’s transportation importance to suggest that everyone on the long-distance trains is either going to a small community with no alternatives or is “going for the train ride itself.” Citing GAO’s reference to “low ridership” cross-country trains also demands a specific rebuttal—these trains in fact are heavily used, as some of the reporter’s other comments and statistics attest.

H. Glenn Scammel spent much of his House career badmouthing the long-distance trains, so his latest comments are no surprise. His suggestion that long-distance equipment should be transferred to short-distance routes is problematic. That equipment is not designed for short-distance travel and, if Amtrak had funds to spend on remanufacturing existing equipment, that money would better be spent on enlarging the fleet by putting back into service cars that are currently sidelined.

The GAO bean-counters have never been sympathetic to Amtrak and especially the long-distance routes, and the GAO paragraph quoted by The Times seems oblivious to the fact that much of Amtrak’s ridership growth in recent years has come from development of state-sponsored corridors that fit GAO’s apparent definition of the “only” appropriate use for intercity passenger trains. But, even though long-distance train capacity has only gone down the past decade, the Times sidebar showed 15.0% ridership growth in May (vs. May 2007) for the long-distance trains compared with 14.0% for state corridors and 9.2% for the Northeast Corridor. And the individual routes cited included Texas Eagle up 27.0% and Sunset Limited up 25.2%.

The statement that Amtrak “is not radically more energy-efficient than other means of travel” must be viewed in the context of an airline and automobile fleet that is constantly replenished with newer, more fuel-efficient models while Amtrak’s youngest over-the-road locomotives are seven years old with no new acquisitions in sight. Also, energy consumed per passenger-mile reflects load factors which on Amtrak have risen since the 2005 data which is the most recent published by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The ORNL figures do not reflect the additional damage done by aviation emissions at high altitudes and of course do not give Amtrak credit for the fact that, in many cities large and small, the train station serves as a transportation center and a magnet for transit- and pedestrian-friendly development.

One cannot overstate the importance of the federal government actually setting up a fund to match state passenger train investments on an 80-20 basis, a vast improvement over the current federal share of zero percent. Sen. Thomas Carper (D-DE), a former governor (and Amtrak board member) who should know, put it this way in yesterday’s Senate hearing on transportation and climate change: “When I was Governor of Delaware, if we wanted to build a road or a highway or a bridge, the federal government paid for 80% of it.  If we wanted to do transit investment, the federal government provided 50% of it.  If we wanted to invest, if it made more sense to put in inter-city passenger rail, the federal government provided nothing.  And I’m sure we made investment decisions which were probably wrong decisions because of the difference in those measures of federal support.”

Notwithstanding strong demand for Amtrak, and lots of talk in the media and from politicians about the need for more trains, nothing has changed yet. The House appropriations subcommittee took the first step in the Fiscal 2009 appropriations process on June 20 and came up with a freeze for Amtrak with two exceptions: doubling to $60 million the small amount that matches state investments (it was $30 million this year); including $114 million for the back pay recommended by Presidential Emergency Board 242. Transportation has the misfortune to be lumped together in the same subcommittee (and budget allocation) as housing. The Project Based Section 8 housing program is the one place in Chairman Olver’s prepared remarks where he said “I wish we were able to provide more.” (In that program, the subcommittee provided $7.3 billion, $300 million above FY08 and $918 million above President Bush’s request.)

Bottom line: the transportation funding process is still largely business as usual, but the impending bankruptcy of the Highway Trust Fund will have interesting consequences.

--Ross B. Capon

Posted by NARP | (9) Comments


Next entry: Cars and Planes Previous entry: Will US Transport Priorities Change?

Comments


Ross,

Isn’t the real energy issue better explained with load factor comparisons?  Major airlines now operate in the 80% range.  Should passenger rail service operate near 80% the current difference would be less than 1/2.  When commuter rail/AMTRAK become a primary means of transportation (not the peak hour one way usage or the once a day train it now enjoys)true energy usages will drop drastically even to the 1/4-1/3 range as compared to a high efficient car or typical modern airplane. More efficient engines may help, but the real drop comes from better utilization.

Comment by Mark Mansius  on  06/27  at  08:33 AM


I was going to address the energy angle, but see that it has been already.  I’d only add that we should be promoting the fact that trains are the ONLY transport mode that can be made fuel-source-independent.  Electrify more routes, and the “fuel” can come from any number of sources.  Can’t do that with road vehicles absent miracle batteries. 

About those car numbers:  632 running and, from what I’ve been told, 88 dead in Bear/Wilmington/Beech Grove.  I’d like to see NARP push to make those numbers more public.  Naturally, we’d need an accurate count first, but I think pointing out that 12% of the fleet is out of service for various reasons might generate some pressure to get a few more cars on the road.  Especially if we target those that control the purse-strings.

I know the Reform Board wants Free State Money to rebuild cars, but that doesn’t help to add capacity to the Western trains or the Florida trains.  Or, heaven forbid, making the Cardinal and Sunset Limited into daily trains. 

Peter

Comment by Peter Laws  on  06/27  at  01:22 PM


Just goes to show you, we need accurate numbers.  Amtrak Ink, in the May issue, cites 2100 cars in the fleet.  Online sources list about 1200 cars not including the Talgo and Acela sets.  Either way, the 632 quoted in the Times is not correct.  Any chance of being able to post monthly or quarterly roster totals?  Individual cars and numbers can be left to the fan sites, but I’d like to see total numbers broken down only by single-level/bi-level.

Comment by Peter Laws  on  06/28  at  10:35 AM


In an energy discussion, load factor is less relevant for trains than for planes and buses because--except when the number of locomotives required changes--train capacity can be adjusted significantly with relatively little impact on fuel consumption.

The airlines have developed raising the load factor to a fine art. It’s generally easier for them because--except for Auto Train--most Amtrak trains have multiple intermediate stops, which results in trains whose overall load factor is less than impressive even when the “peak segment” load is healthy.

A key problem for Amtrak energy efficiency is excess horsepower. Amtrak’s road diesel fleet is dominated by nearly 200 big, 4,250 hp locomotives primarily intended for heavy, long-distance trains but routinely handling shorter corridor trains. A happy exception is in California where the 3,200 hp F59 is reasonably matched to the California cars.

Amtrak’s “overpowering” problem needs to be addressed in the next locomotive order. But the uncertainty of when that will come brings up yet another problem: Amtrak’s road locomotives are aging (the youngest are seven years old), while fleets for every other form of transportation (including freight and commuter railroads) are continually upgraded with new equipment that benefits from the latest efficiency and other design improvements.

Comment by Ross Capon  on  07/01  at  09:39 AM


"A key problem for Amtrak energy efficiency is excess horsepower. Amtrak’s road diesel fleet is dominated by nearly 200 big, 4,250 hp locomotives primarily intended for heavy, long-distance trains but routinely handling shorter corridor trains. A happy exception is in California where the 3,200 hp F59 is reasonably matched to the California cars.”

Not to be too picky, but that is nothing more than load factor.  Load factor puts maximum horse-power together.  Although rail is much less sensitive to energy, its advantages are not fully utilized until this is maximumized.  Sorry to sound picky.  You and I are writing the same.

Mark

Comment by Mark Mansius  on  07/01  at  04:25 PM


I still do not understand—and do not know where to go to get an explanation—why Amtrak is so damn expensive!

For instance, I want to take a train round-trip for 2 passengers from Greensboro, NC to Atlanta, GA during non-peak times. Amtrak wants about $400!!!

When we can drive our car there and back for $52 this is a no-brainer.

We WANT to take the train. But we’re not going to pay a $350 premium to do it!!!

Is Amtrak INSANE?

Comment by Ben Garland  on  07/04  at  08:34 PM


Amtrak may well be insane, but they are charging what they believe the market will bear.  They are also capacity-constrained and cannot increase supply to meet the increased demand, so they raise prices.

As for driving, that’s about 660 miles round trip.  Using the IRS business mileage figures, that’s about $333.  Of course, the IRS includes the total cost of operation and not just fuel. 

Leaving that aside, if you can get 660 miles on $52 of fuel, go for it!!

Comment by Peter Laws  on  07/07  at  09:21 AM


Well, I have a Prius, so let’s do some math. It cost me $25,000 and I expect to get 250,000 miles out of it. So it costs me $0.10 per mile just for the privilege of driving it.

The oil gets changed every 5,000 miles at a cost of about $30 (on the high end). That equals $0.006 per mile.

Insurance is currently costing me about $1,200 per year and I expect to drive the car for roughly 12,000 miles per year. That’s another $0.10 per mile.

Gas is $4.00 per gallon and I get 50 miles per gallon. So the fuel cost is $0.125 per mile.

So adding all of that up I am paying $0.33 cents per mile to drive the Prius. That’s about $267 to drive an 812 mile trip from Raleigh, NC to Atlanta, GA.

BUT. That’s only with one person in the car. With two people we are paying only $134 each. If we average 60 mph, it is 13.5 hours round trip (7 hours each way).

Now, compare to Amtrak the same trip:

$69 RAL-ATL
$74 ATL-RAL
$143 TOTAL (per person)
$186 TOTAL (2 people)

Add to this that you have to take the train from Raleigh to Greensboro at 4:50-6:20pm then WAIT FOR 6 HOURS for the middle-of-the-night train to Atlanta, which takes 8 hours for the trip. That’s almost 16 hours just to get there, or 32 hours round trip! INSANE.

What’s even more insane is that the return train leaves Atlanta at 8:21pm and gets back to Raleigh at 11am the next day. WTF INSANE.

But but but. I know, I should just drive to Greensboro and catch the train there. But that would mean arriving back in Greensboro at 4am on the return trip!

Who wants to do any of this? Sure the train might not be but a few bucks more expensive than driving (maybe cheaper if you own a Hummer). But holy hell, it takes almost 3x as long including layovers if I want to leave from Raleigh, a few hours longer if I leave from Greensboro… AND I have to travel in the middle of the night.

Like I said, Amtrak is definitely insane.

Comment by Ben Garland  on  07/07  at  06:45 PM


Perhaps we should forgo seeking public funding of rail, and the electrification of rail. Instead, let us support a blanket tax exemption on electrified rail based mass transit.

There would be no partisan politics, no delays, no interminable “studies” and no grandstanding.

Those who wish to invest and operate rail transit would do so. It might also attract investment from those who have hidden away their assets in tax havens.

Come to think of it, let’s give a tax exemption to railway workers, too.

I think that such a move would do more to ignite an explosion of rail road investment, installation and operation than any other option.

Comment by Jeff Ganaposki  on  07/24  at  01:53 AM




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